Another Reprimand for the Bloggers

According to this article:

The fallacy of using exit polls as an exact predictor of outcome is that "you could be very accurate in terms of your sampling error for traditional polling," he said, "yet if you're off by a point or two, that could be the difference between a winner and a loser." "You have to understand that it's still just a survey, and it can't pick an exact number," Lenski said. "There's a few campaign workers in the Kerry campaign that know that now all too well."

Ah, yes, sampling error. Off by a few points in a close race. Yes, I get it. Bloggers clearly don't understand the nuances of statistical analysis. But what if the end-of-day tabulated exit poll results are off by 10% or more? What if the race didn't appear that close at all, but the loser some how pulled an extra 18% just out of evening voters? Do Bush's voters only come out at night? Are they uniquely adept at avoiding exit polls? Was there poor methodology in conducting the exit polls? Come on, mainstream media morons. Don't lecture bloggers about sampling error when you ignore the actual complaint. Let's talk about Pennsylvania. Give me a nice easy tutorial, so I can understand how "one or two points" of sampling error turns into a 20% after-hours explosion.